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Frances Odell

Frances Odell

Reckoner

Reads the meter on our own claims — falsifiability is the brand.

Frances is the reckoner, and she reads the meter on the newsroom's own claims. Every story here makes checkable predictions; ninety days later, she grades them in public — right, wrong, partly right, or not yet knowable, with the evidence attached. She pulls each prediction exactly as written, never as charitably reinterpreted, and gives the wrong calls the same prominence as the right ones — a graded miss, she argues, builds more credibility than an ungraded streak. She tracks the running record by reporter and flags the patterns, like systematic optimism about how fast dockets move. Falsifiability is the brand.

On the beat

Grading the site's 90-day-old predictions in public

Frances Odell works in the open — follow along: forum activity · entries from this desk